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Friday, October 19, 2012

Ryan To Come To Pa

I think Pa is close enough to justify putting a good bit of effort into winning it over the next couple of weeks. It has the added bonus of getting a response from the obama campaign and with what the polls are saying they would have to respond. I suspect Romney is going to win Pa but it more a gut feeling on my part than anything based on data. I will say this all states are trending toward Romney including Pa and I suspect that is going to continue. Obama on the RCP electoral map has gone from 256 likely EC votes to 201 and Romney now leads 206 to 201 ...expect Fla to add to Romney's EC lead within the next week. Obama may win but the paths he once had is shrinking while Romney's are expanding

Oh my: Paul Ryan campaigning tomorrow in … western Pennsylvania

Yesterday the bombshell Susquehanna poll, now this. Dude, is this happening?

Actually, I think this is less about putting Pennsylvania in play (for now) than it is about messing with Democrats’ heads and making a pitch to southeastern Ohio next door, but it’s a fun little gambit.

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney’s running mate, Paul Ryan, will return to Pennsylvania on Saturday for the first time in two months as independent polls show a narrowing race in the key Electoral College state.
The Romney campaign said Ryan will appear at a morning rally in a private hangar by Pittsburgh International Airport. Tom Smith, the GOP candidate for U.S. Senate, will speak at the rally…
Pittsburgh is a strategically important area for the Republican Party. The city’s media market reaches eastern Ohio, a primary battleground state, and heavily populated southwestern Pennsylvania is an area of growing strength for Republicans. Republicans hope to sway the area’s conservative Reagan Democrats, who are turning away from Obama but have not fully embraced Romney.

A new Fox News poll of Ohio tonight has Romney within three, a gain of four points since last month — despite a sample that’s actually more Democratic this month (D+8) than it was before the game changing first debate (D+6). Ohio’s 2008 exit poll was also D+8 but that won’t be duplicated this time, which suggests Fox may actually be low balling Romney’s strength. Even weirder, check out the independent column:

H/T Hot Air

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